Tough Year Ahead For South Africa Retailers As Massmart Stalls

Johannesburg – Massmart [JSE:MSM] reported flat annual earnings on Thursday and highlighted the difficulties South African food retailers are likely to face this year as shoppers contend with rising prices, mounting debt and high unemployment.

The retailer, majority owned by Wal-Mart Stores, earns 91% of its revenue in South Africa, with an economy expected to grow by less than 1% this year.

The biggest worry this year is how inflation will affect the lowest income earners, Chief Financial Officer Hans van Lierop told Reuters.

Massmart, which also sells appliances and building materials to wealthier shoppers, supplies staples such as maize and rice in bulk to traders who sell them on to poor urban and rural consumers.

Though retailers absorb some of the cost increases, maize and sugar prices could climb by a double-digit percentage due to a severe drought in southern Africa, said Van Lierop.

Poorer South Africans spend a large part of their income on food and transport, so even when retailers do not pass on price increases they struggle to afford anything but essentials.

Massmart noted a slowdown in general merchandise sales toward the end of 2015 as business confidence sagged and the currency depreciated to new lows.

The rand has declined 20% against the dollar since October, offsetting gains for consumers from lower fuel prices.

“People are travelling less, less often and less far to go to shops,” said Chief Executive Guy Hayward in a presentation to analysts.

Basket sizes are smaller than a year ago, he added.

Rival Shoprite also noted the impact of transport costs on customers when it reported an 8.9% rise in half-year profit on Tuesday.

In some parts, shoppers increasingly prefer informal retailers to stores because it involves less travel, Shoprite Chief Executive Whitey Basson said then.

Low-income shoppers would struggle, Basson said, adding Shoprite could benefit as middle-income customers trade down.

Pick n Pay, a grocer focused on the middle and upper end of the market, on Thursday piloted a project to supply informal shops, called “spazas”.

The trial could be extended to hundreds of independent spaza owners if successful, it said.

Massmart posted diluted headline earnings per share (EPS) of 508.8 cents for 2015, compared with 504.7 cents in 2014.

source: fin24


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